Last week I was 2-2, though I WAS 3-1 against the spread. Whatever. Kickoff is in 2 hours and I need to make this quick.
Seattle at Green Bay: I'm STILL not sold on the Packers, the number 2 seed in the NFC (what a shitty conference!) but the Seahawks are even worse. Shaun Alexander, you can die a slow, painful, embarrassingly homosexual death, a la Vito Spatafore. And Hasselbeck, you can go to hell too. Not because you aren't good, but because I drafted Phillip Rivers instead of you on my fantasy team. Fuck Phillip Rivers. And fuck you for being bald. If you had hair, I probably would have trusted you more and drafted you. Green Bay wins, and the Favre Fellatio continues for at least another week.
Jacksonville at New England: Yeah, the Jags match up well against the Pats, but they didn't look too impressive against the Steelers. If it weren't for a botched holding call on 4th down, we'd be talking about how badly the Steelers would lose tot he Pats. (BADLY.) Anyway, are you really going to take David Garrard against Tom Brady and Bill Belichick at home? I'm not. Pats cruise to the AFC championship.
N.Y. Giants at Dallas: Well, everyone and their mother is picking Eli and his "road warrior" Giants on the road, and not without due cause. The Cowboys haven't looked that good since the Green Bay game. T.O. is banged up (though I think he plays and plays well). Romo's IQ is dropping by association due to his blond love interest. No, not Joe Buck. Her. And the Giants are playing well. Also, this is the third time these teams are meeting this season. They know each other. Either way, it will be close. I hate both of these teams, and nothing would make me happier than a Dallas loss, but I don't think it happens this week. The Cowboys win a thoroughly entertaining game.
San Diego at Indianapolis: Norv Turner and Phillip Rivers against Tony Dungy and Peyton Manning? Ha. Ha ha. Hahahahahahahahahahahaha. Yeah. Fucking. Right. This will be the least close of the games this weekend. Indy will win handily. Remember, they DID win 13 of their first 15 games. And yes, one of those 2 losses was to the Chargers, but had Vinatieri made a relatively close field goal with less than 2 minutes left, they would have won. I'm going on the record now and saying I think the Colts win the Super Bowl.
That'll do it for now. Enjoy the games.
Showing posts with label NFL Picks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NFL Picks. Show all posts
Saturday, January 12, 2008
Friday, January 4, 2008
Playoff Picks
This is not against the spread. Just who I think will win. I'll be doing this every week through the Super Bowl. Let's get it on.
Saturday:
-Washington at Seattle: The Seahawks aren't very good. Neither are the Redskins. Gotta love the NFC. Seattle is very good at home, and I like Matt Hasselbeck more than Todd Collins. Seattle wins a boring game.
-Jacksonville at Pittsburgh: Contrary to popular belief, the Jags did not blow the Steelers out last time. Also, everyone and their mother is picking the Jags. Not a good sign. Pittsburgh wins at home.
Sunday:
-N.Y. Giants at Tampa Bay: I'm not terribly sold on the Bucs, but the Giants stink. (Again, gotta love the NFC.) It's Eli Manning people. He may never win a playoff game. The Bucs outplay one of the worst 10 win teams of all time.
-Tennessee at San Diego: There's a chance Kerry Collins starts this game. Yikes. Norv isn't going to blow this one. San Diego wins easily.
Ah, playoff football. Even without the Eagles, I still love you. Enjoy the weekend.
Saturday:
-Washington at Seattle: The Seahawks aren't very good. Neither are the Redskins. Gotta love the NFC. Seattle is very good at home, and I like Matt Hasselbeck more than Todd Collins. Seattle wins a boring game.
-Jacksonville at Pittsburgh: Contrary to popular belief, the Jags did not blow the Steelers out last time. Also, everyone and their mother is picking the Jags. Not a good sign. Pittsburgh wins at home.
Sunday:
-N.Y. Giants at Tampa Bay: I'm not terribly sold on the Bucs, but the Giants stink. (Again, gotta love the NFC.) It's Eli Manning people. He may never win a playoff game. The Bucs outplay one of the worst 10 win teams of all time.
-Tennessee at San Diego: There's a chance Kerry Collins starts this game. Yikes. Norv isn't going to blow this one. San Diego wins easily.
Ah, playoff football. Even without the Eagles, I still love you. Enjoy the weekend.
Saturday, October 6, 2007
NFL Picks, Week Five
Maybe I'm finally starting to get the hang of this. Last week I went 9-5. That, or this season is just really fucked. That might be it. Everyone sucks except the Patriots, Colts, and, unfortunately, Cowboys. While I'm beginning to accept the Packers as a playoff team, especially in the NFC, where they're already halfway there with 4 wins, they aren't a contender. Sorry, they just aren't. Not when the return of Vernand Morency is going to improve their running game.
Anyway, onto the picks. Home team in caps.
NEW ORLEANS (-3) over Carolina: Hey, the Saints have to win eventually, and Carolina is in shambles. David Carr is starting and the defense is a mess. Who knows when Dan Morgan will be back. With all due respect to the NFC North, this is the worst division in football.
KANSAS CITY (+2) over Jacksonville: I don't know what to think of either of these teams, other than that neither of them is any good. But the Chiefs always play well at Arrowhead, so that has to be worth something, right? Who knows. At this point the only thing that's clear is anyone who picked MoJo Drew in the first two rounds of their fantasy draft (and there are a lot of people who did) is an idiot. No one has ever had a flukier season than he did in '06. I'm not saying he isn't talented, but 16 TDs? Yeah, that was happening again.
Detroit (+3.5) over Washington: For the record, I think Washington, playing at home and coming off a bye, wins this game. But not by more than three. God's Quarterback is playing well and the Lions now face the challenge of not making the playoffs in the NFC despite winning three of their first four games. I have faith that they will pull it off.
PHILADELPHIA (+3) over Bye Week: Again, I think the Bye will win this outright, but it will be close. I see the Eagles losing by no more than two, while McNabb is sacked 17 times.
TENNESSEE (-8.5) over Atlanta: I think Tennessee is for real because Vince Young is definitely for real. Also, Atlanta is terrible. 8.5 is a lot for a team without a legit passing game, but I still think Tennessee covers.
Miami (+5) over HOUSTON: Again, Miami has to win eventually. Houston will be without Andre Johnson and probably Ahman Green. Miami is terrible enough that the Texans could pull this off, but I see a crappy, unwatchable game that someone wins by three. That, or a tie.
PITTSBURGH (-6) over Seattle: I got nothing here. I'm picking Pittsburgh because it's in Pittsburgh, but these teams look evenly matched. I think the Steelers are pissed about losing last week, and they'll take it out on the Seahawks. Or maybe they wont. I don't know. If I could skip a game, this would be it.
NEW ENGLAND (16.5) over Cleveland: They could be playing anyone other than Indy, and I would still pick them to cover anything less than a 21 point spread. Jesus this team is good. And yes, Cleveland's offense has looked surprisingly frisky, but I think New England has a legit shot at 16-0. I'm praying against it, because it's the only way Boston fans could become more intolerable, but damn, this team is probably the best football team I've seen since the '94 49ers. Until we get to week 8 and the spread is routinely 3 or more touchdowns, I'm taking the Pats.
Arizona (-3.5) over ST. LOUIS: Oh, St. Louis. This is payback for an 83-win team winning the World Series last year. You get no sympathy from me. Enjoy Gus Frerotte.
N.Y. Jets (+3.5) over N.Y. GIANTS: I like how the Giants are officially the home team. That's funny. I also think it's funny that the Giants are favored here. Tom Coughlin is going to outcoach Eric Mangini? Riiiight. The Jets aren't as terrible as they seem. I think they definitely cover here, if not win outright. However, if they trade for Winston Justice before the gamer starts, take the Giants.
INDIANAPOLIS (-9.5) over Tampa Bay: I know Tampa Bay is 3-1. I know they're scrappy and well coached. I don't care. Indy is really fucking good and this game is in Indy. I don't think the loss of Cadillac Williams will affect the Bucs much, but Indy being a better team will affect them a lot.
San Diego (+1) over DENVER: I don't know what the hell is going on in San Diego. Is Norv Turner really this bad? Is Phillip Rivers? Who knows. All I know is Travis Herny is banged up and stoned, and the Denver defense might be good against the air, but I don't see them playing well against Tomlinson. Still, there's a reason the line is 1 here: even Vegas doesn't know what to make of this game.
Baltimore (-3.5) over SAN FRANCISCO: I know I said I had to support San Fran, but that was with Alex Smith as QB. When Trent Dilfer plays, all bets are off. I don't like this Ravens team, but I really don't like the Niners.
GREEN BAY (-3) over Chicago: Still not sold on the Packers, but the Bears ain't good. Injuries have decimated the defense and a sheer lack of talent at QB and RB has decimated the offense. Could the Bears win this game? Sure. Easily. But I doubt they will. Still, Brian Griese is not as terrible as people say he is. Look at his stats in 2000. Not too shabby. Unfortunately for the Bears, he was 25 then, not 32. Oh well.
Dallas (-10) over BUFFALO: This should be a shootout. I'm hoping this is the week Lee Evans makes me remember why I drafted him on my fantasy team. I hate the Cowboys, but they're good. Buffalo isn't. If this game were in December, I'd take the Bills, but it isn't cold enough to matter yet. Plus, it'll still be at least a few weeks before T.O. submarines the team.
Well, enjoy the games, and the baseball. Crazy game in Cleveland last night. That was a lot of bugs. Just one more reason never to go to Cleveland. As if we needed another one.
Last Week: 9-5
Season: 25-34-3
Anyway, onto the picks. Home team in caps.
NEW ORLEANS (-3) over Carolina: Hey, the Saints have to win eventually, and Carolina is in shambles. David Carr is starting and the defense is a mess. Who knows when Dan Morgan will be back. With all due respect to the NFC North, this is the worst division in football.
KANSAS CITY (+2) over Jacksonville: I don't know what to think of either of these teams, other than that neither of them is any good. But the Chiefs always play well at Arrowhead, so that has to be worth something, right? Who knows. At this point the only thing that's clear is anyone who picked MoJo Drew in the first two rounds of their fantasy draft (and there are a lot of people who did) is an idiot. No one has ever had a flukier season than he did in '06. I'm not saying he isn't talented, but 16 TDs? Yeah, that was happening again.
Detroit (+3.5) over Washington: For the record, I think Washington, playing at home and coming off a bye, wins this game. But not by more than three. God's Quarterback is playing well and the Lions now face the challenge of not making the playoffs in the NFC despite winning three of their first four games. I have faith that they will pull it off.
PHILADELPHIA (+3) over Bye Week: Again, I think the Bye will win this outright, but it will be close. I see the Eagles losing by no more than two, while McNabb is sacked 17 times.
TENNESSEE (-8.5) over Atlanta: I think Tennessee is for real because Vince Young is definitely for real. Also, Atlanta is terrible. 8.5 is a lot for a team without a legit passing game, but I still think Tennessee covers.
Miami (+5) over HOUSTON: Again, Miami has to win eventually. Houston will be without Andre Johnson and probably Ahman Green. Miami is terrible enough that the Texans could pull this off, but I see a crappy, unwatchable game that someone wins by three. That, or a tie.
PITTSBURGH (-6) over Seattle: I got nothing here. I'm picking Pittsburgh because it's in Pittsburgh, but these teams look evenly matched. I think the Steelers are pissed about losing last week, and they'll take it out on the Seahawks. Or maybe they wont. I don't know. If I could skip a game, this would be it.
NEW ENGLAND (16.5) over Cleveland: They could be playing anyone other than Indy, and I would still pick them to cover anything less than a 21 point spread. Jesus this team is good. And yes, Cleveland's offense has looked surprisingly frisky, but I think New England has a legit shot at 16-0. I'm praying against it, because it's the only way Boston fans could become more intolerable, but damn, this team is probably the best football team I've seen since the '94 49ers. Until we get to week 8 and the spread is routinely 3 or more touchdowns, I'm taking the Pats.
Arizona (-3.5) over ST. LOUIS: Oh, St. Louis. This is payback for an 83-win team winning the World Series last year. You get no sympathy from me. Enjoy Gus Frerotte.
N.Y. Jets (+3.5) over N.Y. GIANTS: I like how the Giants are officially the home team. That's funny. I also think it's funny that the Giants are favored here. Tom Coughlin is going to outcoach Eric Mangini? Riiiight. The Jets aren't as terrible as they seem. I think they definitely cover here, if not win outright. However, if they trade for Winston Justice before the gamer starts, take the Giants.
INDIANAPOLIS (-9.5) over Tampa Bay: I know Tampa Bay is 3-1. I know they're scrappy and well coached. I don't care. Indy is really fucking good and this game is in Indy. I don't think the loss of Cadillac Williams will affect the Bucs much, but Indy being a better team will affect them a lot.
San Diego (+1) over DENVER: I don't know what the hell is going on in San Diego. Is Norv Turner really this bad? Is Phillip Rivers? Who knows. All I know is Travis Herny is banged up and stoned, and the Denver defense might be good against the air, but I don't see them playing well against Tomlinson. Still, there's a reason the line is 1 here: even Vegas doesn't know what to make of this game.
Baltimore (-3.5) over SAN FRANCISCO: I know I said I had to support San Fran, but that was with Alex Smith as QB. When Trent Dilfer plays, all bets are off. I don't like this Ravens team, but I really don't like the Niners.
GREEN BAY (-3) over Chicago: Still not sold on the Packers, but the Bears ain't good. Injuries have decimated the defense and a sheer lack of talent at QB and RB has decimated the offense. Could the Bears win this game? Sure. Easily. But I doubt they will. Still, Brian Griese is not as terrible as people say he is. Look at his stats in 2000. Not too shabby. Unfortunately for the Bears, he was 25 then, not 32. Oh well.
Dallas (-10) over BUFFALO: This should be a shootout. I'm hoping this is the week Lee Evans makes me remember why I drafted him on my fantasy team. I hate the Cowboys, but they're good. Buffalo isn't. If this game were in December, I'd take the Bills, but it isn't cold enough to matter yet. Plus, it'll still be at least a few weeks before T.O. submarines the team.
Well, enjoy the games, and the baseball. Crazy game in Cleveland last night. That was a lot of bugs. Just one more reason never to go to Cleveland. As if we needed another one.
Last Week: 9-5
Season: 25-34-3
Saturday, September 29, 2007
NFL Picks, Week Four
Ah, the NFL. Never predictable. Well, I'm not good at predicting it. At least not yet. I could be taking the coward's way out and just picking teams straight up, but that's too easy. Anyway, last week I forgot to pick the San Fran - Pittsburgh game. With San Fran getting 10 points, I probably would have taken them. And lost. Ah well. I'm changing my format because I don't feel like making the picks in bold, so home team is in caps, my pick comes first. Just like Bill Simmons. Except he has readers. Anyway, onto the picks.
MIAMI(-4) over Oakland: Miami shouldn't be giving points to anyone at this point. On paper they shouldn't be terrible, but they are. Lamont Jordan is having a fine season and should continue to do so this week. Miami Stinks, but Oakland stinks a little less. That being said, I can't see Oakland beating anyone by more than 3.
ATLANTA (+3) over Houston: No Andre Johnson. No Ahman Green (probably). And I still really had to think about his one. Atlanta is that bad. But they can't go 0-16. I'm not sure they win this gam, but it should be close.
CLEVELAND (+4.5) over Baltimore: I know, it's the Browns. They aren't good and probably never will be again. But the Ravens are overrated and Jamal Lewis, convicted felon, wants revenge. I say he gets it, but the Browns still lose by less than five, because, you know, they're the Browns.
DETROIT (+3) over Chicago: Detroit's defense can make anyone look good. Just ask Kevin Curtis. But Roy Williams and those receivers are for real, even if he is a cheap, worthless piece of shit. Tip the pizza guy you rich fuckhead. Otherwise he'll be teabagging every slice you eat until the end of time. Anyway, the Bears are reeling, and while there's a good chance they get back on track with this game, I don't think they will. They are experiencing the Super Bow Loser Year After of Suckitude and might not even make the playoffs. Are the Lions good? Not really, but they can, and will, score.
Green Bay (-2) over MINNESOTA: I still don't think Green Bay is for real. I do, however, think Minnesota's offense is terrible, even with Purple Jesus. It's a shame because that defense is really good, but they pretty much need to pitch a shutout to win.
DALLAS (-13.5) over St. Louis: Until further notice, I'm not taking St. Louis. Bulger has cracked ribs and Jackson isn't playing? And his replacement is a white running back? I hate to say it, but Dallas is good, and they should win this by a lot.
N.Y. Jets (-3.5) over BUFFALO: Wow, this game sure isn't going to be entertaining. Me and my fantasy team are hoping this is the game Lee Evans registers more than one point. That fuck. I think he will. But the Bills aren't winning. They may never win again. I still think the Jets can be a playoff team, starting with another win here.
CAROLINA (-3) over Tampa Bay: I'm so not sold on Tampa Bay. Who have they beaten? St. Louis and an apparently crappy Saints team? I'm pretty sure Carolina is good, even with
David Carr. And it's in Carolina, so they should win this without much of a problem.
SAN FRANCISCO (+2) over Seattle: If this were in Seattle, I'd pick them. But it isn't, and I still think San Fran is a good team, though I'm not sure why. I think they will win outright, even without Vernon Davis.
Pittsburgh (-6.5) over ARIZONA: Pittsburgh is for real. The Cardinals are the Cardinals. They are what we think they are: crappy. A QB controversy and no Anquan Boldin? No thanks. Pittsburgh continues to roll here.
KANSAS CITY (+12) over San Diego: I don't think Kansas City wins this game, but it should be close. I heard a lot about how terrible Norv Turner was when San Diego originally hired him, and now I see why. A team as talented as the Chargers has no business losing to Green Bay, and yet, they lost. They will win this game, but it will be close, and it won't be pretty.
INDIANAPOLIS (-10) over Denver: Last week Denver was exposed as not being that good. They had me fooled. Not anymore. Indy isn't fucking around, and I think they're a little annoyed that everyone has already handed the Vince Lombardi trophy to New England. I think they pound the fuck out of Denver here.
N.Y. GIANTS (+2.5) over Philadelphia: These games are always close, regardless of how bad either team might be. And it's in New York. No result would really surprise me here, and the Eagles are 0-2 when I pick them, so I'm taking the Giants.
New England (-7.5) over CINCINNATI: Cincinnati gave up 51 points to Cleveland. New England is a lot better than Cleveland. Cincinnati will score some points too, but a final score of 58-21 wouldn't shock me here. New England is really, really good. Those fucks. They will win this game, and pretty much every game, handily.
Those are the picks for the week. Enjoy the games.
Last Week: 6-8-2
Season: 16-29-3
MIAMI(-4) over Oakland: Miami shouldn't be giving points to anyone at this point. On paper they shouldn't be terrible, but they are. Lamont Jordan is having a fine season and should continue to do so this week. Miami Stinks, but Oakland stinks a little less. That being said, I can't see Oakland beating anyone by more than 3.
ATLANTA (+3) over Houston: No Andre Johnson. No Ahman Green (probably). And I still really had to think about his one. Atlanta is that bad. But they can't go 0-16. I'm not sure they win this gam, but it should be close.
CLEVELAND (+4.5) over Baltimore: I know, it's the Browns. They aren't good and probably never will be again. But the Ravens are overrated and Jamal Lewis, convicted felon, wants revenge. I say he gets it, but the Browns still lose by less than five, because, you know, they're the Browns.
DETROIT (+3) over Chicago: Detroit's defense can make anyone look good. Just ask Kevin Curtis. But Roy Williams and those receivers are for real, even if he is a cheap, worthless piece of shit. Tip the pizza guy you rich fuckhead. Otherwise he'll be teabagging every slice you eat until the end of time. Anyway, the Bears are reeling, and while there's a good chance they get back on track with this game, I don't think they will. They are experiencing the Super Bow Loser Year After of Suckitude and might not even make the playoffs. Are the Lions good? Not really, but they can, and will, score.
Green Bay (-2) over MINNESOTA: I still don't think Green Bay is for real. I do, however, think Minnesota's offense is terrible, even with Purple Jesus. It's a shame because that defense is really good, but they pretty much need to pitch a shutout to win.
DALLAS (-13.5) over St. Louis: Until further notice, I'm not taking St. Louis. Bulger has cracked ribs and Jackson isn't playing? And his replacement is a white running back? I hate to say it, but Dallas is good, and they should win this by a lot.
N.Y. Jets (-3.5) over BUFFALO: Wow, this game sure isn't going to be entertaining. Me and my fantasy team are hoping this is the game Lee Evans registers more than one point. That fuck. I think he will. But the Bills aren't winning. They may never win again. I still think the Jets can be a playoff team, starting with another win here.
CAROLINA (-3) over Tampa Bay: I'm so not sold on Tampa Bay. Who have they beaten? St. Louis and an apparently crappy Saints team? I'm pretty sure Carolina is good, even with
David Carr. And it's in Carolina, so they should win this without much of a problem.
SAN FRANCISCO (+2) over Seattle: If this were in Seattle, I'd pick them. But it isn't, and I still think San Fran is a good team, though I'm not sure why. I think they will win outright, even without Vernon Davis.
Pittsburgh (-6.5) over ARIZONA: Pittsburgh is for real. The Cardinals are the Cardinals. They are what we think they are: crappy. A QB controversy and no Anquan Boldin? No thanks. Pittsburgh continues to roll here.
KANSAS CITY (+12) over San Diego: I don't think Kansas City wins this game, but it should be close. I heard a lot about how terrible Norv Turner was when San Diego originally hired him, and now I see why. A team as talented as the Chargers has no business losing to Green Bay, and yet, they lost. They will win this game, but it will be close, and it won't be pretty.
INDIANAPOLIS (-10) over Denver: Last week Denver was exposed as not being that good. They had me fooled. Not anymore. Indy isn't fucking around, and I think they're a little annoyed that everyone has already handed the Vince Lombardi trophy to New England. I think they pound the fuck out of Denver here.
N.Y. GIANTS (+2.5) over Philadelphia: These games are always close, regardless of how bad either team might be. And it's in New York. No result would really surprise me here, and the Eagles are 0-2 when I pick them, so I'm taking the Giants.
New England (-7.5) over CINCINNATI: Cincinnati gave up 51 points to Cleveland. New England is a lot better than Cleveland. Cincinnati will score some points too, but a final score of 58-21 wouldn't shock me here. New England is really, really good. Those fucks. They will win this game, and pretty much every game, handily.
Those are the picks for the week. Enjoy the games.
Last Week: 6-8-2
Season: 16-29-3
Friday, September 21, 2007
NFL Picks, Week Three
Well, last week didn't go so well. Maybe I'm not good at this. And then again, maybe I am, and it's just taking a while. The first two weeks have been crazy. Just look at some of the 2-0 teams so far: Green Bay, Detroit, Houston, Washington, San Francisco - not a lot of people saw that coming. Anyway, onto the picks.
Indianapolis (-6) at Houston: No Andre Johnson? Yes problem. When you don't have your best offense player against the best offense in the league, you're going to have trouble staying within 6 points of them. Take the Colts.
San Diego (-5.5) at Green Bay: I'm still not sold on the Packers. Shredding the Giants' defense is no major accomplishment. Still, it's in Green Bay and the Packers have momentum. But San Diego just got buttraped by New England and will be looking to prove they are still an elite NFL team. Take the Chargers.
Minnesota (+3) at Kansas City: The Chiefs are a favorite? Well, it is in Kansas City, a tough place to win. But the Vikings have one of the best run defenses in the league, and the Chiefs sure as hell can't pass. Minnesota will cover in a low scoring, boring game.
Detroit (+6) at Philadelphia: The Eagles are favored by 6 against an offense like Detroit? Have they been watching the Eagles offense play? Yes, Detroit has a terrible defense, but the Eagles offense is not clicking, and Westbrook sprained something. I don't like that. Take the Lions.
Buffalo (+16) at New England: Jesus 16 points is a lot. Jesus the Pats are good. And it's in New England. It's hard to say a 16 point favorite will cover at the pro level, but I think they will. Take the Pats.
Arizona (+8) at Baltimore: I like the Cardinals offense, but the Ravens defense is really good, even without Trevor Pryce. The question is, can Baltimore even score 8 points? I think the Cardinals cover, but lose painfully.
St. Louis (+3.5) at Tampa Bay: I don't think the Bucs are any good, but neither is St. Louis. This is a game that no one should watch, but alas, someone will. The Rams have to win eventually, and Steven Jackson eventually has to have a good game. I think they will here. Take St. Louis.
Jacksonville (+3.5) at Denver: Um, Jacksonville stinks right? Yes. Denver, despite pulling consecutive wins out of its ass, looks decent, if not great. It's in Denver, and Jacksonville sucks. Take Denver, even though Jay Cutler looks shaky.
Miami (+3) at N.Y. Jets: Miami stinks. The Jets, despite their 0-2 record, do not. I think Pennington will play this week, and I'm sorry, I like Chad Pennington. He wins. Sometimes. I think this is one of those times. Take the Jets.
Cincinnati (+3.5) at Seattle: What the fuck happened last week Cincy? 51 points? To the Browns? Ugh. How the fuck did that happen? Seattle never loses at home, but I think this will be close. Cincy covers in a game they lose.
Cleveland (+3) at Oakland: No one wants to watch this game. Not even people in Cleveland or Oakland. I think Oakland is the better team though, and they have to win eventually. Take the Raiders, but for the love of God, don't watch this game.
Carolina (-4) at Atlanta: Only 4? That means all Carolina needs to do to cover is record a safety and a field goal. It think they do more than that. Atlanta is terrible. Really, really terrible. Take the Panthers.
N.Y. Giants (+4) at Washington: This is tough. The Redskins might be for real. The Giants are definitely terrible. But they can score. I'm not sure they win, but I think they will cover. Take the Giants.
Dallas (+3) at Chicago: I hate to admit it, but Dallas looks good. Oh wait, they haven't played a decent team yet. Chicago is a decent team, and it's in Chicago. It will be a good game, but the Bears know how to play defense, which is how you stop Dallas. Take the Bears.
Tennessee (+4.5) at New Orleans: New Orleans is a different team at home. At least they were last year. They're 0-2, but they were road games. Still, I'm not betting against Vince Young when he's playing an 0-2 team. This game should be a hell of a lot of fun to watch. Take the Titans, who will keep it close, if not win outright.
Last Week: 3-13 (Yikes.)
Season: 10-21-1 (Double yikes.)
I will finish above .500. I promise. Enjoy the games.
Indianapolis (-6) at Houston: No Andre Johnson? Yes problem. When you don't have your best offense player against the best offense in the league, you're going to have trouble staying within 6 points of them. Take the Colts.
San Diego (-5.5) at Green Bay: I'm still not sold on the Packers. Shredding the Giants' defense is no major accomplishment. Still, it's in Green Bay and the Packers have momentum. But San Diego just got buttraped by New England and will be looking to prove they are still an elite NFL team. Take the Chargers.
Minnesota (+3) at Kansas City: The Chiefs are a favorite? Well, it is in Kansas City, a tough place to win. But the Vikings have one of the best run defenses in the league, and the Chiefs sure as hell can't pass. Minnesota will cover in a low scoring, boring game.
Detroit (+6) at Philadelphia: The Eagles are favored by 6 against an offense like Detroit? Have they been watching the Eagles offense play? Yes, Detroit has a terrible defense, but the Eagles offense is not clicking, and Westbrook sprained something. I don't like that. Take the Lions.
Buffalo (+16) at New England: Jesus 16 points is a lot. Jesus the Pats are good. And it's in New England. It's hard to say a 16 point favorite will cover at the pro level, but I think they will. Take the Pats.
Arizona (+8) at Baltimore: I like the Cardinals offense, but the Ravens defense is really good, even without Trevor Pryce. The question is, can Baltimore even score 8 points? I think the Cardinals cover, but lose painfully.
St. Louis (+3.5) at Tampa Bay: I don't think the Bucs are any good, but neither is St. Louis. This is a game that no one should watch, but alas, someone will. The Rams have to win eventually, and Steven Jackson eventually has to have a good game. I think they will here. Take St. Louis.
Jacksonville (+3.5) at Denver: Um, Jacksonville stinks right? Yes. Denver, despite pulling consecutive wins out of its ass, looks decent, if not great. It's in Denver, and Jacksonville sucks. Take Denver, even though Jay Cutler looks shaky.
Miami (+3) at N.Y. Jets: Miami stinks. The Jets, despite their 0-2 record, do not. I think Pennington will play this week, and I'm sorry, I like Chad Pennington. He wins. Sometimes. I think this is one of those times. Take the Jets.
Cincinnati (+3.5) at Seattle: What the fuck happened last week Cincy? 51 points? To the Browns? Ugh. How the fuck did that happen? Seattle never loses at home, but I think this will be close. Cincy covers in a game they lose.
Cleveland (+3) at Oakland: No one wants to watch this game. Not even people in Cleveland or Oakland. I think Oakland is the better team though, and they have to win eventually. Take the Raiders, but for the love of God, don't watch this game.
Carolina (-4) at Atlanta: Only 4? That means all Carolina needs to do to cover is record a safety and a field goal. It think they do more than that. Atlanta is terrible. Really, really terrible. Take the Panthers.
N.Y. Giants (+4) at Washington: This is tough. The Redskins might be for real. The Giants are definitely terrible. But they can score. I'm not sure they win, but I think they will cover. Take the Giants.
Dallas (+3) at Chicago: I hate to admit it, but Dallas looks good. Oh wait, they haven't played a decent team yet. Chicago is a decent team, and it's in Chicago. It will be a good game, but the Bears know how to play defense, which is how you stop Dallas. Take the Bears.
Tennessee (+4.5) at New Orleans: New Orleans is a different team at home. At least they were last year. They're 0-2, but they were road games. Still, I'm not betting against Vince Young when he's playing an 0-2 team. This game should be a hell of a lot of fun to watch. Take the Titans, who will keep it close, if not win outright.
Last Week: 3-13 (Yikes.)
Season: 10-21-1 (Double yikes.)
I will finish above .500. I promise. Enjoy the games.
Saturday, September 15, 2007
NFL Picks, Week Two
Well, after a not so stellar start to the season, I'm back with more picks. Hey, week one is the hardest week. You haven't seen anyone play yet. Last week I was 7-8-1. This week I can guarantee improvement or you money back. (Note: I'm not talking about the money you might lose gambling. The money to which I am referring is what you pay to read this.)
Anyway, onto the games. Within the body of the paragraph, the team I'm picking to cover will be in bold.
Buffalo (+9.5) at Pittsburgh: The Steelers looked very good last week, but they were playing the Browns. (Suicide pool note: when in doubt, pick whoever Cleveland is playing.) The Bills lost a game to the Broncos that they should have won. In the NFC Buffalo is probably a playoff team. But in the AFC, they're still at least a year away. That being said, I don't think Pittsburgh wins by 10. Take Buffalo.
Cincinnati (-6.5) at Cleveland: The Bengals looked pretty good beating Baltimore last week. The score was misleading because Ed Reed returned a punt for a touchdown late in the game. Cleveland is terrible. The Bengals will win easily. Take Cincy.
Indianapolis (-7) at Tennessee: This is a trap game If I ever saw one. Is Indy a much better team? Yes. Would I recommend gambling against Vince Young? Hell no. Am I going to contradict myself and take the Colts anyway? Yep. They don't lose games in September. Hell, they tend not to lose many regular season games at all. You never know what Vince Young is capable of, but the Colts, coming off 10 days of rest, looked very good last week. Take Indy.
Houston (+6.5) at Carolina: I'm not sold on the Texans at all. It's easy to look good when you're playing the Chiefs. Carolina didn't beat the best team in the NFL either, but they put the Rams away easily and looked good doing it. I think the Panthers are going to have a good year, provided of course the defense stays healthy. The Texans might be an 8 win team this year, but this wont be one of them. Go with Carolina.
San Francisco (-3) at St. Louis: This is a tough one. San Francisco wasn't terribly impressive against the Cardinals, who beat themselves. Nothing new there. But St. Louis looked worse, and I've been saying The 49ers are a playoff team since last season ended. For fantasy purposes though, I think both Frank Gore and Steven Jackson bounce back with big days. Go with San Fran.
Green Bay (Pk) at N.Y. Giants: The Hefty Lefty is ready to play, and shit, he can't be worse than Eli, right? The Packers have a decent defense and one of the worst offenses in the league. The Giants have a crappy defense but an offense that has some punch, even if it might be without its "leader" this week. Even if Eli does end up playing, and it looks like he will, I still like the Giants. The aren't to win a ton of games this year, but I think this will be one of them.
Atlanta (+10) at Jacksonville: Maybe the Falcons are going to be as bad as they were Sunday all season. I certainly don't thin they'll win this game. But 10 points to the Jaguars? Please. Their QB is DAVID GARRARD. The only way Jacksonville wins by 10 is if the final score is 10-0, which is possible. Take the Falcons anyway.
New Orleans (-3.5) at Tampa Bay: The Saints received a good ol' buttwhoopin' at the hands of the Colts last week. The Bucs are not as good as the Colts. Nowhere near. I'm not even sure they play the same sport. The Saints will bounce back nicely against Tampa, a team that is banged up already. Take the Saints.
Minnesota (-3) at Detroit: Last week I went against Minny and they burned me. Granted, they were playing against Joey Harrington, but still. That defense looked good. The Lions will score points, but they will turn it over too. Remember, we're talking about the Lions here. Take the Vikings.
Dallas (-3.5) at Miami: Miami proved last week by losing to the Redskins that they are indeed terrible, at least on offense. Dallas proved you can score on them via the air, but Miami's passing game stinks. Take Dallas.
Seattle (-3) at Arizona: It's the Cardinals people. Seattle is good and the Cardinals are the Cardinals. Both teams will score, Seattle will cover. Take the Seahawks, although be wary, Shaun Alexander is nursing a sprained wrist.
N.Y. Jets (+10) at Baltimore: Ten points is a lot, but the Jets are starting an inexperienced QB against a very good defense. And, it's in Baltimore. I still think the Jets will be a decent team, but they're going 0-2. Will the lose by 10? Probably. Take the Ravens.
Oakland (+10) at Denver: I gave the Raiders too much credit last week. They did everything in their power to lose to the Lions, and lo and behold, they did. It's in Denver and the Broncos are pumped after last weeks win. This, despite me not being sold on Jay Cutler, and despite Oakland's decent defense, shouldn't be close. All I know is I'm not picking the Raiders to cover this year until they do. Go with Denver.
Kansas City (+12) at Chicago: Jesus Kansas City is bad. And I mean BAD. Sorry Larry Johnson, but you aren't winning 5 games this year. And you certainly aren't winning this one. Even though I'm not sold on the Bears offense, that defense should put up some points. I like Chicago in this one, despite the big spread.
San Diego (+3.5) at New England: This game is going to go one of two ways: either New England is going to destroy San Diego in the wake of the cheating thing, or the Chargers will beat the Pats in an emotion filled victory to prove the Pats aren't unbeatable this year. The Patriots do have to lose a game this year, right? If they're going to lose one, this is it. I don't think the Chargers are going to win this game though. Take the Pats, but you shouldn't be gambling on this game.
Washington (+7) at Philadelphia: The Eagles will bounce back at home on Monday night. They have to. And Washington is not good. I am sure of this. The Eagles under Reid and McNabb have played historically well in night games, and quite well against the Redskins. Take the Eagles. They should win this by a lot, but hey, I said that last week.
That's it for this weeks picks. Enjoy the games.
Last week: 7-8-1
Season 7-8-1
Oh, and the Phillies just took two in a row from the Mets. I still don't care, because they're going 2-5 against the Cardinals and the Nationals on this road trip. Prove me wrong fellas, prove me wrong.
Anyway, onto the games. Within the body of the paragraph, the team I'm picking to cover will be in bold.
Buffalo (+9.5) at Pittsburgh: The Steelers looked very good last week, but they were playing the Browns. (Suicide pool note: when in doubt, pick whoever Cleveland is playing.) The Bills lost a game to the Broncos that they should have won. In the NFC Buffalo is probably a playoff team. But in the AFC, they're still at least a year away. That being said, I don't think Pittsburgh wins by 10. Take Buffalo.
Cincinnati (-6.5) at Cleveland: The Bengals looked pretty good beating Baltimore last week. The score was misleading because Ed Reed returned a punt for a touchdown late in the game. Cleveland is terrible. The Bengals will win easily. Take Cincy.
Indianapolis (-7) at Tennessee: This is a trap game If I ever saw one. Is Indy a much better team? Yes. Would I recommend gambling against Vince Young? Hell no. Am I going to contradict myself and take the Colts anyway? Yep. They don't lose games in September. Hell, they tend not to lose many regular season games at all. You never know what Vince Young is capable of, but the Colts, coming off 10 days of rest, looked very good last week. Take Indy.
Houston (+6.5) at Carolina: I'm not sold on the Texans at all. It's easy to look good when you're playing the Chiefs. Carolina didn't beat the best team in the NFL either, but they put the Rams away easily and looked good doing it. I think the Panthers are going to have a good year, provided of course the defense stays healthy. The Texans might be an 8 win team this year, but this wont be one of them. Go with Carolina.
San Francisco (-3) at St. Louis: This is a tough one. San Francisco wasn't terribly impressive against the Cardinals, who beat themselves. Nothing new there. But St. Louis looked worse, and I've been saying The 49ers are a playoff team since last season ended. For fantasy purposes though, I think both Frank Gore and Steven Jackson bounce back with big days. Go with San Fran.
Green Bay (Pk) at N.Y. Giants: The Hefty Lefty is ready to play, and shit, he can't be worse than Eli, right? The Packers have a decent defense and one of the worst offenses in the league. The Giants have a crappy defense but an offense that has some punch, even if it might be without its "leader" this week. Even if Eli does end up playing, and it looks like he will, I still like the Giants. The aren't to win a ton of games this year, but I think this will be one of them.
Atlanta (+10) at Jacksonville: Maybe the Falcons are going to be as bad as they were Sunday all season. I certainly don't thin they'll win this game. But 10 points to the Jaguars? Please. Their QB is DAVID GARRARD. The only way Jacksonville wins by 10 is if the final score is 10-0, which is possible. Take the Falcons anyway.
New Orleans (-3.5) at Tampa Bay: The Saints received a good ol' buttwhoopin' at the hands of the Colts last week. The Bucs are not as good as the Colts. Nowhere near. I'm not even sure they play the same sport. The Saints will bounce back nicely against Tampa, a team that is banged up already. Take the Saints.
Minnesota (-3) at Detroit: Last week I went against Minny and they burned me. Granted, they were playing against Joey Harrington, but still. That defense looked good. The Lions will score points, but they will turn it over too. Remember, we're talking about the Lions here. Take the Vikings.
Dallas (-3.5) at Miami: Miami proved last week by losing to the Redskins that they are indeed terrible, at least on offense. Dallas proved you can score on them via the air, but Miami's passing game stinks. Take Dallas.
Seattle (-3) at Arizona: It's the Cardinals people. Seattle is good and the Cardinals are the Cardinals. Both teams will score, Seattle will cover. Take the Seahawks, although be wary, Shaun Alexander is nursing a sprained wrist.
N.Y. Jets (+10) at Baltimore: Ten points is a lot, but the Jets are starting an inexperienced QB against a very good defense. And, it's in Baltimore. I still think the Jets will be a decent team, but they're going 0-2. Will the lose by 10? Probably. Take the Ravens.
Oakland (+10) at Denver: I gave the Raiders too much credit last week. They did everything in their power to lose to the Lions, and lo and behold, they did. It's in Denver and the Broncos are pumped after last weeks win. This, despite me not being sold on Jay Cutler, and despite Oakland's decent defense, shouldn't be close. All I know is I'm not picking the Raiders to cover this year until they do. Go with Denver.
Kansas City (+12) at Chicago: Jesus Kansas City is bad. And I mean BAD. Sorry Larry Johnson, but you aren't winning 5 games this year. And you certainly aren't winning this one. Even though I'm not sold on the Bears offense, that defense should put up some points. I like Chicago in this one, despite the big spread.
San Diego (+3.5) at New England: This game is going to go one of two ways: either New England is going to destroy San Diego in the wake of the cheating thing, or the Chargers will beat the Pats in an emotion filled victory to prove the Pats aren't unbeatable this year. The Patriots do have to lose a game this year, right? If they're going to lose one, this is it. I don't think the Chargers are going to win this game though. Take the Pats, but you shouldn't be gambling on this game.
Washington (+7) at Philadelphia: The Eagles will bounce back at home on Monday night. They have to. And Washington is not good. I am sure of this. The Eagles under Reid and McNabb have played historically well in night games, and quite well against the Redskins. Take the Eagles. They should win this by a lot, but hey, I said that last week.
That's it for this weeks picks. Enjoy the games.
Last week: 7-8-1
Season 7-8-1
Oh, and the Phillies just took two in a row from the Mets. I still don't care, because they're going 2-5 against the Cardinals and the Nationals on this road trip. Prove me wrong fellas, prove me wrong.
Friday, September 7, 2007
NFL Picks, Week One
The Phillies had a much needed day off after the debacle that was that road trip. Ugh... anyway, onto the rest of the NFL picks for week one. So far I haven't been wrong. (1-0 baby, woo!)
(Match ups are in bold in the beginning, as is the team I'm picking in the body of the paragraph.)
Kansas City (+3) at Houston: The Texans are favored in a football game? Really? Wow. It kinda makes sense - Kansas City is a terrible football team, and this game is in Houston. Larry Johnson could run all over this Texans defense, but they'll be stacking the line due to the lack of a Kansas City passing attack. Plus, Herm Edwards is coaching KC, and we all know how he loves to send LJ into 8 man fronts. I can't believe I'm saying this, but I think the Texans will cover. Still, this is one of the toughest games to call this week. If you can, avoid wagering on it.
Denver (-3) at Buffalo: The Bills are an okay football team stuck in a good division. Lee Evans is a serious talent. JP Losman might not be awful after all. The defense is decent. And Buffalo is usually a tough place to win on the road, but not in early September. The Broncos are good. Take them, take the points. They will win by more than 3.
Pittsburgh (-5) at Cleveland: Charlie Frye is the starting QB for Cleveland. I don't think I need to say more, but I will anyway. The Browns stink, despite some legitimately talented players. After last years crappy superbowl defense, the Steelers will be playing with a chip on their shoulder. Big Ben is healthy and Fast Willie is, well, fast. The Steelers will win by a lot more than 5. They cover easily.
Tennessee (+6.5) at Jacksonville: This one is intriguing for a couple reasons. First of all, I think Vince Young is quickly becoming on of those QBs you just don't bet against. However, he struggled mightily against Jacksonville last year, and that defense is just as good. Still, the spread seems like too much. I have trouble seeing the Jaguars scoring 6.5 points, let alone winning by that many. They might win the game, but it won't be by a touchdown. Take the Titans, who will cover, if not win outright.
Carolina (+1) at St. Louis: This is a tough one. Which Panthers team are we going to see? the one with the vicious play-making defense and reasonably competent Jake Delhomme, or the one that underachieved last year? The Rams defense sucks, but that offense is quite good. Considering it's in St, Louis, I'm picking the Rams to cover, but I wouldn't bet money on this game.
Philadelphia (-3) at Green Bay: This is the hardest game to be objective about, but let's get a few facts clear, shall we? Fact: Donovan McNabb is back and healthy. Fact: With McNabb and Brian Westbrook, the Eagles will have the 2 best players on the field. Throw in Brian Dawkins and it's the 3 best. Fact: Brett Favre is NOT what he used to be. Fact: It's in Green Bay, but it's still warm. Fact: Al Harris plays for the Packers. Not a good sign. Fact: despite some improvements, especially on defense, the Packers are not a good football team. The Eagles will cover.
Atlanta (+3) at Minnesota: This is another tough one. Forget Mike Vick. People forget that despite his explosiveness, he wasn't a very good QB. Atlanta's strength is running the ball, but unfortunately for them, Minnesota is one of the best teams in football against the run. Now, I would never recommend betting on Joey Harrington, but are you really about to wager some of your hard earned cash on Tavaris Jackson? Didn't think so. Take the Falcons, though this one could go either way. Just remember that like every team in the NFC North not from Chicago, Minnesota stinks.
Miami (+3) at Washington: The Redskins are favored? HAHAHAHAHA. Yo, the Redskins suck, Seriously, they're terrible. Joe Gibbs is a corpse. Jason Campbell will be a good NFL QB some day, but that day is not September 9th, 2007. Miami has a great defense, and I think Trent Green still has something left in the tank. Would it amaze me if the 'Skins won this game? No. But I don't think they will. Take the Dolphins, who will cover, and probably win outright.
New England (-6.5) at NY Jets: This one seems easy at first, but remember a few things: Richard Seymour is hurt. Rodney Harrison, lamentable piece of shit that he is, is suspended. And the Jets are a good football team with a good coach. They could win this game. That being said, I don't think they do. But I do think it will be close. I think the Jets cover, but I'm probably going to regret that decision. They're either going to cover or they're getting blown out. But hey, you shouldn't be betting against Tom Brady anyway.
Tampa Bay (+6) at Seattle: I don't think the Bucs will be as bad as everyone thinks, but they will be bad. Seattle, who always wins at home, will be good. Shaun Alexander is poised to once again do great things. I also think Jeff Garcia will have a good year, but not good enough to cover in week one. Take the Seahawks.
Chicago (+6) at San Diego: A lot of people think Chicago is in for a down year. I'm not one of those people. Are they a better team than San Diego? No. But they play in the NFC North, which is 6 guaranteed wins right there. My initial reaction was that Chicago should never get 6 points with that defense, but then I remembered that Rex Grossman is their QB. Chicago is an 11 win team, but this wont be one of them. Take the Chargers, in a game that turnovers will decide.
Detroit (+2.5) at Oakland: I would love that Detroit offense if it weren't for two things: Jon Kitna is the QB, and they're the Lions. The Lions don't win football games. My only concern is that Oakland's offense simply wont score enough to win this game, but with Kitna chucking up interceptions to one of the leagues best pass defenses, they might not have to. I think Oakland, led by Duante Culpepper and LaMont Jordan, both of whom have something to prove, will cover the spread. Remember, it's the Lions. Take the Raiders for one of their 5 wins this year.
NY Giants (+6) at Dallas: This one is easy. What do you get when you take Tiki Barber away from an already mediocre football team led by SHEli Manning and coached by Tom Coughlin? A terrible fucking football team! Dallas is good. The Giants aren't. It's in Dallas. Take the Cowgirls, they will cover.
Baltimore (+2.5) at Cincinnati (Monday): The Ravens are underdogs? Look, they won't be as good as last year, but I don't believe in the Bengals, who did nothing to improve after a terrible offseason (from a legal standpoint). The Ravens will win this game by at least 3, regardless of how good that Bengal offense is. Take Baltimore.
Arizona (+3) at San Francisco (Monday): This could be a great game. It could also be a stinkfest. I would like the Cardinals this year, but they're the Cardinals. Much like the Lions, they don't really do the whole "winning" thing. I said months ago that I thought the 49ers were a playoff team, long before everyone else got on that bandwagon. Still, a bandwagon that full scares me. But I don't think they're losing to the Cardinals. Take the Niners, but I don't recommend betting on this game.
Well, that's it for my Week One picks. I hope they can help all you degenerate gamblers out there. Enjoy the weekend.
(Match ups are in bold in the beginning, as is the team I'm picking in the body of the paragraph.)
Kansas City (+3) at Houston: The Texans are favored in a football game? Really? Wow. It kinda makes sense - Kansas City is a terrible football team, and this game is in Houston. Larry Johnson could run all over this Texans defense, but they'll be stacking the line due to the lack of a Kansas City passing attack. Plus, Herm Edwards is coaching KC, and we all know how he loves to send LJ into 8 man fronts. I can't believe I'm saying this, but I think the Texans will cover. Still, this is one of the toughest games to call this week. If you can, avoid wagering on it.
Denver (-3) at Buffalo: The Bills are an okay football team stuck in a good division. Lee Evans is a serious talent. JP Losman might not be awful after all. The defense is decent. And Buffalo is usually a tough place to win on the road, but not in early September. The Broncos are good. Take them, take the points. They will win by more than 3.
Pittsburgh (-5) at Cleveland: Charlie Frye is the starting QB for Cleveland. I don't think I need to say more, but I will anyway. The Browns stink, despite some legitimately talented players. After last years crappy superbowl defense, the Steelers will be playing with a chip on their shoulder. Big Ben is healthy and Fast Willie is, well, fast. The Steelers will win by a lot more than 5. They cover easily.
Tennessee (+6.5) at Jacksonville: This one is intriguing for a couple reasons. First of all, I think Vince Young is quickly becoming on of those QBs you just don't bet against. However, he struggled mightily against Jacksonville last year, and that defense is just as good. Still, the spread seems like too much. I have trouble seeing the Jaguars scoring 6.5 points, let alone winning by that many. They might win the game, but it won't be by a touchdown. Take the Titans, who will cover, if not win outright.
Carolina (+1) at St. Louis: This is a tough one. Which Panthers team are we going to see? the one with the vicious play-making defense and reasonably competent Jake Delhomme, or the one that underachieved last year? The Rams defense sucks, but that offense is quite good. Considering it's in St, Louis, I'm picking the Rams to cover, but I wouldn't bet money on this game.
Philadelphia (-3) at Green Bay: This is the hardest game to be objective about, but let's get a few facts clear, shall we? Fact: Donovan McNabb is back and healthy. Fact: With McNabb and Brian Westbrook, the Eagles will have the 2 best players on the field. Throw in Brian Dawkins and it's the 3 best. Fact: Brett Favre is NOT what he used to be. Fact: It's in Green Bay, but it's still warm. Fact: Al Harris plays for the Packers. Not a good sign. Fact: despite some improvements, especially on defense, the Packers are not a good football team. The Eagles will cover.
Atlanta (+3) at Minnesota: This is another tough one. Forget Mike Vick. People forget that despite his explosiveness, he wasn't a very good QB. Atlanta's strength is running the ball, but unfortunately for them, Minnesota is one of the best teams in football against the run. Now, I would never recommend betting on Joey Harrington, but are you really about to wager some of your hard earned cash on Tavaris Jackson? Didn't think so. Take the Falcons, though this one could go either way. Just remember that like every team in the NFC North not from Chicago, Minnesota stinks.
Miami (+3) at Washington: The Redskins are favored? HAHAHAHAHA. Yo, the Redskins suck, Seriously, they're terrible. Joe Gibbs is a corpse. Jason Campbell will be a good NFL QB some day, but that day is not September 9th, 2007. Miami has a great defense, and I think Trent Green still has something left in the tank. Would it amaze me if the 'Skins won this game? No. But I don't think they will. Take the Dolphins, who will cover, and probably win outright.
New England (-6.5) at NY Jets: This one seems easy at first, but remember a few things: Richard Seymour is hurt. Rodney Harrison, lamentable piece of shit that he is, is suspended. And the Jets are a good football team with a good coach. They could win this game. That being said, I don't think they do. But I do think it will be close. I think the Jets cover, but I'm probably going to regret that decision. They're either going to cover or they're getting blown out. But hey, you shouldn't be betting against Tom Brady anyway.
Tampa Bay (+6) at Seattle: I don't think the Bucs will be as bad as everyone thinks, but they will be bad. Seattle, who always wins at home, will be good. Shaun Alexander is poised to once again do great things. I also think Jeff Garcia will have a good year, but not good enough to cover in week one. Take the Seahawks.
Chicago (+6) at San Diego: A lot of people think Chicago is in for a down year. I'm not one of those people. Are they a better team than San Diego? No. But they play in the NFC North, which is 6 guaranteed wins right there. My initial reaction was that Chicago should never get 6 points with that defense, but then I remembered that Rex Grossman is their QB. Chicago is an 11 win team, but this wont be one of them. Take the Chargers, in a game that turnovers will decide.
Detroit (+2.5) at Oakland: I would love that Detroit offense if it weren't for two things: Jon Kitna is the QB, and they're the Lions. The Lions don't win football games. My only concern is that Oakland's offense simply wont score enough to win this game, but with Kitna chucking up interceptions to one of the leagues best pass defenses, they might not have to. I think Oakland, led by Duante Culpepper and LaMont Jordan, both of whom have something to prove, will cover the spread. Remember, it's the Lions. Take the Raiders for one of their 5 wins this year.
NY Giants (+6) at Dallas: This one is easy. What do you get when you take Tiki Barber away from an already mediocre football team led by SHEli Manning and coached by Tom Coughlin? A terrible fucking football team! Dallas is good. The Giants aren't. It's in Dallas. Take the Cowgirls, they will cover.
Baltimore (+2.5) at Cincinnati (Monday): The Ravens are underdogs? Look, they won't be as good as last year, but I don't believe in the Bengals, who did nothing to improve after a terrible offseason (from a legal standpoint). The Ravens will win this game by at least 3, regardless of how good that Bengal offense is. Take Baltimore.
Arizona (+3) at San Francisco (Monday): This could be a great game. It could also be a stinkfest. I would like the Cardinals this year, but they're the Cardinals. Much like the Lions, they don't really do the whole "winning" thing. I said months ago that I thought the 49ers were a playoff team, long before everyone else got on that bandwagon. Still, a bandwagon that full scares me. But I don't think they're losing to the Cardinals. Take the Niners, but I don't recommend betting on this game.
Well, that's it for my Week One picks. I hope they can help all you degenerate gamblers out there. Enjoy the weekend.
Wednesday, September 5, 2007
The Nfl Is Upon Us
And so, I shall begin what will be a season-long process for all you gamblers out there: NFL picks.
Let's start with tomorrow night's game, New Orleans at Indy: Indy is a 6 point favorite. Take the Colts, take points. The Saints are a good team - on offense. The defense is suspect at best and the Colts have the best offense in the league. Also, they tend not to lose regular season games. It will be a good game, but Indy will win by at least 7.
Coming up by Friday: the rest of week one. Enjoy the game tomorrow.
Let's start with tomorrow night's game, New Orleans at Indy: Indy is a 6 point favorite. Take the Colts, take points. The Saints are a good team - on offense. The defense is suspect at best and the Colts have the best offense in the league. Also, they tend not to lose regular season games. It will be a good game, but Indy will win by at least 7.
Coming up by Friday: the rest of week one. Enjoy the game tomorrow.
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