NFL Picks, Week Three

Well, last week didn't go so well. Maybe I'm not good at this. And then again, maybe I am, and it's just taking a while. The first two weeks have been crazy. Just look at some of the 2-0 teams so far: Green Bay, Detroit, Houston, Washington, San Francisco - not a lot of people saw that coming. Anyway, onto the picks.

Indianapolis (-6) at Houston: No Andre Johnson? Yes problem. When you don't have your best offense player against the best offense in the league, you're going to have trouble staying within 6 points of them. Take the Colts.

San Diego (-5.5) at Green Bay: I'm still not sold on the Packers. Shredding the Giants' defense is no major accomplishment. Still, it's in Green Bay and the Packers have momentum. But San Diego just got buttraped by New England and will be looking to prove they are still an elite NFL team. Take the Chargers.

Minnesota (+3) at Kansas City: The Chiefs are a favorite? Well, it is in Kansas City, a tough place to win. But the Vikings have one of the best run defenses in the league, and the Chiefs sure as hell can't pass. Minnesota will cover in a low scoring, boring game.

Detroit (+6) at Philadelphia: The Eagles are favored by 6 against an offense like Detroit? Have they been watching the Eagles offense play? Yes, Detroit has a terrible defense, but the Eagles offense is not clicking, and Westbrook sprained something. I don't like that. Take the Lions.

Buffalo (+16) at New England: Jesus 16 points is a lot. Jesus the Pats are good. And it's in New England. It's hard to say a 16 point favorite will cover at the pro level, but I think they will. Take the Pats.

Arizona (+8) at Baltimore: I like the Cardinals offense, but the Ravens defense is really good, even without Trevor Pryce. The question is, can Baltimore even score 8 points? I think the Cardinals cover, but lose painfully.

St. Louis (+3.5) at Tampa Bay: I don't think the Bucs are any good, but neither is St. Louis. This is a game that no one should watch, but alas, someone will. The Rams have to win eventually, and Steven Jackson eventually has to have a good game. I think they will here. Take St. Louis.

Jacksonville (+3.5) at Denver: Um, Jacksonville stinks right? Yes. Denver, despite pulling consecutive wins out of its ass, looks decent, if not great. It's in Denver, and Jacksonville sucks. Take Denver, even though Jay Cutler looks shaky.

Miami (+3) at N.Y. Jets: Miami stinks. The Jets, despite their 0-2 record, do not. I think Pennington will play this week, and I'm sorry, I like Chad Pennington. He wins. Sometimes. I think this is one of those times. Take the Jets.

Cincinnati (+3.5) at Seattle: What the fuck happened last week Cincy? 51 points? To the Browns? Ugh. How the fuck did that happen? Seattle never loses at home, but I think this will be close. Cincy covers in a game they lose.

Cleveland (+3) at Oakland: No one wants to watch this game. Not even people in Cleveland or Oakland. I think Oakland is the better team though, and they have to win eventually. Take the Raiders, but for the love of God, don't watch this game.

Carolina (-4) at Atlanta: Only 4? That means all Carolina needs to do to cover is record a safety and a field goal. It think they do more than that. Atlanta is terrible. Really, really terrible. Take the Panthers.

N.Y. Giants (+4) at Washington: This is tough. The Redskins might be for real. The Giants are definitely terrible. But they can score. I'm not sure they win, but I think they will cover. Take the Giants.

Dallas (+3) at Chicago: I hate to admit it, but Dallas looks good. Oh wait, they haven't played a decent team yet. Chicago is a decent team, and it's in Chicago. It will be a good game, but the Bears know how to play defense, which is how you stop Dallas. Take the Bears.

Tennessee (+4.5) at New Orleans: New Orleans is a different team at home. At least they were last year. They're 0-2, but they were road games. Still, I'm not betting against Vince Young when he's playing an 0-2 team. This game should be a hell of a lot of fun to watch. Take the Titans, who will keep it close, if not win outright.

Last Week: 3-13 (Yikes.)
Season: 10-21-1 (Double yikes.)

I will finish above .500. I promise. Enjoy the games.